The Value of Disciplined Research
Friday, October 24, 2025
From the Trading Desk at Stipelis
The Stipelis NAV Report
The Markets are closing the week on a high note, powered by strong gains in energy and a broad-based rally across equities. Heating oil surged 6.58% to $2.37, leading the charge, while crude oil climbed 5.62% to $61 dollar and RBOB gasoline rose 3.%. The rally was backed by heavy volume and firm institutional interest, a sign that investors are rotating into the energy sector as demand expectations strengthen ahead of winter.
Equities followed suit. The Russell 2000 advanced 1.23% yesterday and extended another 1.44% today, breaking above short-term resistance. The Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 E-mini each reached four-week highs, underscoring a shift toward risk appetite and confirming the breadth of the move.
While the headlines favor strength, beneath the surface the story is more nuanced. Livestock and soft commodities sold off, with live cattle down 3%, feeder cattle off 2%, and coffee easing another 1%. The standout underperformer was sugar, which hit a four-week low at 14.97, confirming a downside breakout that could attract additional short interest.
At Stipelis Global Trading, we interpret these moves through a structured, systematic lens. Research is not an afterthought—it is the foundation. Our managed futures program studies over thirty markets across agriculture, energy, metals, currencies, and interest rates. Each market is dissected in layers—technically through price action, volatility, and momentum; fundamentally through production, demand, and trade flows. This integration transforms scattered data into actionable insight.
Our proprietary sector indices help visualize capital rotation—tracking whether money is moving toward risk or into safety. The current setup shows clear leadership in energy and equities, while livestock and softs reflect stress in the consumer and agricultural complex.
For investors, these conditions reaffirm why Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) belong in diversified portfolios. Managed futures strategies thrive in environments like this—where dispersion, volatility, and sector divergence create opportunity on both sides of the market.
This week’s actionable setups:
- Long positions in crude oil, heating oil, and the Russell 2000 as momentum accelerates.
- Short exposure in sugar and cattle, where breakdowns are confirmed.
In volatile markets, prediction is less valuable than preparation. That’s the essence of disciplined trading—and the heart of the Stipelis approach.
Let’s stay in touch.
Let’s follow these markets together.
Stephen Coleman
Founder-Stipelis Global Trading LLC
Stipelis Global Trading LLC is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is a member of the National Futures Association. Member ID 0474441
The opinions expressed are those of Stipelis Global Trading LLC and are considered market commentary. They are not intended to act as investment recommendations. Individuals should make investment decisions based on their own analysis and with direct consultation with a financial advisor.
THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY INTERESTS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION.