Diversification at Work

From the Trading Desk at Stipelis

The NAV Report – Insights from a Commodity Trading Advisor and Futures Trader

Subject: Managed Futures and Diversification in Action

November 21, 2025

In today’s complex financial landscape, diversification remains a cornerstone of sound investment strategies. For investors seeking to enhance their portfolios, managed futures offer a unique advantage—uncorrelated returns, robust risk mitigation, and a hedge against market downturns. As we assess the current state of the markets, it’s clear that Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) play an indispensable role in ensuring balanced exposure to various asset classes, helping investors manage risks, and providing opportunities for growth even in uncertain times.

At Stipelis, we take pride in our systematic approach to trading, focusing on the performance of our managed futures program. Our goal is to provide transparency and insightful commentary on the performance of our trades and how they contribute to overall portfolio resilience. In this edition of our NAV Report, we take a closer look at recent market movements and explain why CTAs are essential in helping investors weather volatility, rising rates, and inflation.

The Current Market Environment: A Snapshot

Recent market trends demonstrate the ongoing volatility that investors face across equities, commodities, and bonds. On November 20th, 2025, the VIX surged by over 11%, signaling growing market uncertainty. As equity indices like the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 Futures saw significant declines, traditional investments in stocks and bonds appeared vulnerable. However, in such environments, managed futures, driven by CTAs, often thrive by profiting from both rising and falling markets.

While the S&P 500 futures and Dow Jones Futures showed a drop in value, we saw notable strength in commodities like gold and natural gas, which benefited from shifts in market sentiment. These market fluctuations underline the critical need for uncorrelated assets in an investment strategy. CTAs capitalize on these price movements through systematic trading strategies, which are designed to exploit market trends without being tied to the overall direction of traditional asset classes.

The Role of CTAs in Diversified Portfolios

Managed futures programs are designed to reduce portfolio volatility and enhance returns by trading futures contracts across multiple asset classes, including equities, commodities, and bonds. CTAs are adept at identifying trends across these markets, executing trades that take advantage of price movements whether markets are rising or falling.

For example, in a period of rising interest rates or inflation, traditional assets like bonds and stocks may underperform due to tighter financial conditions. However, managed futures strategies can often benefit from these shifts, especially in commodity markets like gold and energy, where CTAs can generate positive returns in challenging macroeconomic conditions.

By allocating to managed futures, investors are not only seeking to profit from market trends but also protecting their portfolios from the risks posed by inflation, rising rates, and equity market crashes. This diversification is a powerful tool for risk mitigation, ensuring that portfolio returns are not dependent on a single asset class or economic condition.

Systematic Trading: Predictable Risk Management

At Stipelis, our systematic approach to trading sets us apart. By utilizing data-driven models, we execute trades based on market signals rather than gut instincts or speculative behavior. This method provides consistency in both bull and bear markets. As of November 21st, 2025, key markets like the 10-year Treasury Note and the VIX reflect typical market turbulence. However, our strategies are designed to perform across these conditions, ensuring that our clients are not exposed to the same risks as those invested purely in equities or bonds.

Looking at recent performance metrics, we see that even during challenging months, the diversification benefits of managed futures help offset losses in traditional sectors. For instance, while the S&P 500 has experienced a decline of over 2% over the last month, managed futures have been able to provide positive performance in commodities such as metals and energy.

Building Investor Confidence: A Long-Term Approach

The ultimate goal of managed futures is not just to achieve short-term gains but to build investor confidence through consistent performance and risk mitigation. Over the years, CTAs have demonstrated the ability to manage market shocks effectively, making them a crucial part of a diversified portfolio. By offering uncorrelated returns, CTAs help smooth out the ride for investors, allowing them to focus on long-term growth without the anxiety of market volatility.

In conclusion, managed futures, driven by experienced CTAs, are a powerful tool for both diversification and risk mitigation. As we continue to monitor the evolving market conditions, Stipelis remains committed to delivering robust risk-adjusted returns, providing our clients with confidence in navigating even the most uncertain economic landscapes.

Stephen Coleman

Stipelis Global Trading LLC

Stipelis Global Trading LLC is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is a member of the National Futures Association. Member ID 0474441

THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITY INTERESTS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION.

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